Half PPR Fantasy Football WR Rankings

1.
Michael Thomas
Healthy
Height / Weight
6'3" / 212 lbs.
Date of Birth (Age)
3/3/1993 (27)
RECEIVING RUSHING FANTASY
SEASON TEAM REC TGTS YDS TD LNG YDS/TGT YDS/REC ATT YDS AVG TD FPTS/G FPTS
2018 NO 125 147 1,405 9 72 9.6 11.2 0 0 0.0 0 15.8 253.0
2019 NO 149 185 1,725 9 49 9.3 11.6 1 -9 -9.0 0 18.8 300.1
2020 NO 144 163 1,378 9 0 8.5 9.6 2 0 0.0 0 16.5 263.8

Now widely regarded as the best wide receiver in football, Thomas comes off a historic 2019 campaign in which he set an all-time NFL record with 149 receptions. Additionally, Thomas led the league with 1,725 receiving yards and 26 red-zone targets.

No position player offers a higher floor that Thomas, who exceeded double-digit targets in 12-of-16 games and whose quietest performance (Week 13) still resulted in six grabs and 10-plus PPR points. The main catalyst for Thomas's production is his elite hands, which resulted in a league-best 94.9% True Catch Rate- the highest of his career to date.

Still just 27, Thomas is just about to enter his prime and remains one of the most secure options in all of fantasy football with QB Drew Brees at the helm of the Saints' high-octane attack. While scooping up running backs early in fantasy drafts remains a viable strategy, targeting the best wideout in the game offers the safest return-on-investment of any first-rounder. Whether it's dynasty, redraft, standard, or PPR, Michael Thomas should be a top-10 selection in every fantasy football league.

Saints 2019 Target Distribution
2019 Game Logs
WEEK OPP FPTS PERFORMANCE
1 MIN 10.5
 
2 @LAR 13.9
 
3 @NYJ 10.9
 
4 DAL 14.0
 
5 TB 35.7
 
6 @JAX 12.9
 
7 @CHI 17.6
 
8 ARI 21.8
 
9
 
10 ATL 21.7
 
11 @TB 21.4
 
12 CAR 21.1
 
13 @ATL 7.8
 
14 SF 24.9
 
15 IND 24.8
 
16 @TEN 25.6
 
17 @CAR 5.7
 

2.
Davante Adams
Healthy
Height / Weight
6'1" / 215 lbs.
Date of Birth (Age)
12/24/1992 (27)
RECEIVING RUSHING FANTASY
SEASON TEAM REC TGTS YDS TD LNG YDS/TGT YDS/REC ATT YDS AVG TD FPTS/G FPTS
2018 GB 111 169 1,386 13 57 8.2 12.5 0 0 0.0 0 18.3 274.1
2019 GB 83 127 997 5 58 7.9 12.0 0 0 0.0 0 14.3 171.2
2020 GB 98 152 1,258 12 0 8.3 12.8 0 0 0.0 0 15.3 244.8

Davante Adam’s 2019 campaign was derailed due to injury after Week 4, in which he posted 10 receptions for 180 yards. Once Adams returned from injury, from Week 9-16, he posted 127.6 fantasy points, which ranked 6th among WRs in PPR scoring. Despite missing 4 games, among WRs, Adams finished tied-12th in receptions (83), tied-2nd in Red Zone Targets (23), and 3rd in total Target Share with a 30.3% Target Share. Even in a season haunted by a turf toe injury, Adams maintained his elite-level of play and is primed for a massive rebound season in 2020.

Green Bay elected not to draft a complimentary WR in the 2020 NFL Draft, leaving Adams as Aaron Rodgers’ number 1 weapon. Adams thrives when handling the bulk of the workload in the passing game. The addition of free-agent WR Devin Funchess does not impact Adam’s fantasy production; having another suitable WR on the outside should allow Adams to dominate various areas of the field. Adam’s touchdown numbers dropped in 2019, after finishing with double-digit touchdowns from 2016-18, so getting into the end zone more in 2020 should be high on his priorities. Adams is one of the most reliable pass-catchers in the league, hauling in over 70 receptions in 4-straight seasons. I expect Adam’s to return to his 2018 form (WR2 in PPR), continuing to command a massive target share for the Packers, with a serious chance of finishing 2020 as a top-2 fantasy WR. Michael Thomas is the only wide receiver I would consider drafting before Adams in fantasy this season.

Packers 2019 Target Distribution
2019 Game Logs
WEEK OPP FPTS PERFORMANCE
1 @CHI 5.6
 
2 SEA 32.0
 
3 @SF 18.3
 
4 PHI 23.0
 
5
 
6
 
7
 
8
 
9 @LAC 7.6
 
10 CAR 15.3
 
11
 
12 @SF 15.8
 
13 @NYG 21.4
 
14 WAS 6.1
 
15 CHI 19.8
 
16 @MIN 16.1
 
17 @DET 18.8
 

3.
Julio Jones
Healthy
Height / Weight
6'3" / 220 lbs.
Date of Birth (Age)
2/8/1989 (31)
RECEIVING RUSHING FANTASY
SEASON TEAM REC TGTS YDS TD LNG YDS/TGT YDS/REC ATT YDS AVG TD FPTS/G FPTS
2018 ATL 113 170 1,677 8 58 9.9 14.8 2 12 6.0 0 16.8 269.4
2019 ATL 99 157 1,394 6 54 8.9 14.1 2 -3 -1.5 0 15.0 224.6
2020 ATL 104 161 1,443 7 0 9.0 13.9 2 13 6.5 0 14.8 237.6

Few players can offer the consistency that Julio Jones brings to the table. In each of the past six seasons, Jones has finished as a top-7 fantasy wideout while averaging 104 receptions and 1,565 yards. Selecting Jones in the first or second round has been a winning formula for a long time and there are no indications that that trend will end any time soon.

About the only thing that has plagued Jones has been lack of touchdowns. Only once in his storied career has he surpassed double-digit scores, but that could change in 2020. TE Austin Hooper, who joined the Cleveland Browns via free agency, is vacating a whopping 18 red-zone targets, which were two more than Jones commanded all season. New tight end Hayden Hurst will certainly factor in but the 6-foot-3 Jones should see a significant increase in red-zone targets, which should help boost those scoring numbers.

The Falcons also play an appealing schedule for wideouts, with six games against the defensive-challenged NFC South and also includes tilts against Detroit and Minnesota squads that ranked in the top 7 of fantasy points allowed to wideouts. It gets even better during the fantasy playoffs as Jones gets matchups with the Saints and two games against Tampa Bay to close out the season.

Falcons 2019 Target Distribution
2019 Game Logs
WEEK OPP FPTS PERFORMANCE
1 @MIN 12.1
 
2 PHI 25.1
 
3 @IND 22.8
 
4 TEN 7.3
 
5 @HOU 5.7
 
6 @ARI 14.8
 
7 LAR 12.3
 
8 SEA 20.2
 
9
 
10 @NO 9.4
 
11 @CAR 11.7
 
12 TB 9.3
 
13
 
14 CAR 9.1
 
15 @SF 31.9
 
16 JAX 21.6
 
17 @TB 11.3
 

4.
Tyreek Hill
Healthy
Height / Weight
5'10" / 185 lbs.
Date of Birth (Age)
3/1/1994 (26)
RECEIVING RUSHING FANTASY
SEASON TEAM REC TGTS YDS TD LNG YDS/TGT YDS/REC ATT YDS AVG TD FPTS/G FPTS
2018 KC 87 137 1,479 12 75 10.8 17.0 22 151 6.9 1 17.8 284.5
2019 KC 58 89 860 7 57 9.7 14.8 8 23 2.9 0 13.3 159.3
2020 KC 85 129 1,237 8 0 9.6 14.6 15 109 7.3 1 14.3 229.1

Perhaps no player in the NFL offers the week-to-week explosive potential that Tyreek Hill brings to the table. A threat to score each and every time he touches the ball, Hill battled injuries last season but still managed to put up a 51/844/7 line in the 10 games he was healthy. That's an 82/1,350/11 pace over a full 16-game slate.As one of the premier deep threats in the NFL, Hill warrants a ton of respect from defensive backs. Per Fantasy Data's Advanced Efficiency Metrics, Hill was third in the league with an average of 1.97 yards of separation per target. With a healthy Patrick Mahomes under center and the addition of first-round stud RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City's offense only looks that much more potent and that should provide even more downfield big-play opportunities for Hill. In addition to his immense ceiling, Hill has an extremely high floor. He's certainly in the conversation to be a top-5 fantasy wideout regardless of format. That makes Hill an intriguing target in the second round and one that offers league-winning upside.

Chiefs 2019 Target Distribution
2019 Game Logs
WEEK OPP FPTS PERFORMANCE
1 CIN 0.0
 
2 HOU 4.0
 
3 TEN 21.9
 
4 SF 15.0
 
5
 
6 HOU 22.5
 
7 @DEN 14.9
 
8 GB 11.1
 
9 MIN 23.5
 
10 @TEN 27.5
 
11 @LAC 0.0
 
12
 
13 LV 7.6
 
14 @NE 10.0
 
15 DEN 21.3
 
16 @CHI 9.7
 
17 LAC 8.1
 

5.
DeAndre Hopkins
Healthy
Height / Weight
6'1" / 214 lbs.
Date of Birth (Age)
6/6/1992 (28)
RECEIVING RUSHING FANTASY
SEASON TEAM REC TGTS YDS TD LNG YDS/TGT YDS/REC ATT YDS AVG TD FPTS/G FPTS
2018 HOU 115 163 1,572 11 49 9.6 13.7 1 -7 -7.0 0 17.2 276.0
2019 HOU 104 150 1,165 7 43 7.8 11.2 2 18 9.0 0 14.4 216.5
2020 ARI 97 140 1,273 9 0 9.1 13.1 1 9 9.0 0 14.3 228.7

DeAndre Hopkins has been one of the best wide receivers in fantasy since entering the league in 2013. In 2019, he once again dominated going for over 1300 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns. Entering 2020, Hopkins finds himself on a new team with the Arizona Cardinals and new quarterback in Kyler Murray.

Going from Houston to Arizona presents a big change for Hopkins. He is unlikely to see a 25% - 30% target share that he would routinely see in Houston. With the Texans, Hopkins was surrounded by far inferior talent than what his new situation is in Arizona. With fewer targets he will need to be effective in the red zone to achieve fantasy success. Larry Fitzgerald led the Cardinals in red-zone targets (14) which were one more than Hopkins saw last year in Houston.

Considering the important aspect of Hopkins’ game is not to win with separation, but with contested catches; that should translate to his new team in 2020. Hopkins was 15th in the NFL in contest targets (26) and was 12th in contested receptions (12). His average target separation (1.39) ranked 50th. However, Murray showed in his rookie season that he was not afraid to throw the ball into tight spaces. In 2019, Murray’s receivers ranked third to last in target separation (1.31), so he should not be hesitant to throw it to Hopkins even if he is “covered”. Hopkins should also help as an outside wide receiver and even stretch the field vertically at times. The Cardinals struggled to get solid production from their perimeter receivers.

In 2019, Hopkins’ yards per reception (11.2) ranked 61st, yards per target (7.8) ranked 48th, and yards per route run (2.45) ranked 13th. His total air yards ranked in the top-12. Those were all way above the current Cardinals receiving corps. Hopkins is the best receiver on the Cardinals, but we have seen elite receivers change teams and not live up to the hype. He will still likely be WR1 at the end of the season but could fall out of the elite WR1 tier in brand new surroundings.

Cardinals 2019 Target Distribution
2019 Game Logs
WEEK OPP FPTS PERFORMANCE
1 BUF 12.0
 
2 JAX 6.5
 
3 @LAC 9.7
 
4 CAR 4.6
 
5 ATL 12.3
 
6 @KC 12.0
 
7 @IND 21.1
 
8 LV 16.4
 
9 @JAX 15.4
 
10
 
11 @BAL 11.5
 
12 IND 24.4
 
13 NE 13.1
 
14 DEN 22.7
 
15 @TEN 14.9
 
16 @TB 4.8
 
17