Buy Low/Sell High: Week 3
Waivers in Week 3 are always a huge part. A lot of people want to pick up the “next best player” after only a one or two-week performance. This will encourage teams to sell other players who didn’t do too well to either make room on their team or because they think this new player, they got will be better. This will allow you to buy low on big names and get your team built for the long haul. On the other hand, if you have a player that flashes, you can sell high to capitalize on the hype of this player. You can get players you never would’ve dreamt of in return. That’s the key to making your team successful over a long season. This year will be the longest in NFL history because it is 17 games. This is a good practice run if you never have bought or participated in the stock market. You buy stocks (players) when they are at their lowest price. That way, you only increase your monetary value and improve your net worth (how good your team is). If you do it right, you can “win” a lot (win a championship).
On the other hand, you want to predict when the stocks (players) are at their peak price (trade value). That’s because you want the most return for your investment (player). That way you can ensure your team is always heading towards its peak throughout the season. You want your guys to peak to come playoff time. You want to win a championship. Of course, scoring a bunch early on is fun. Yet, if you can trade the high-risk guys who blew up one week and turn them into steady, high-performing contributors week in, and week out, do it. That’s how you win championships. You play the fantasy football market.
Now, it’s always helpful to have people advise you on players that should only rise in value or have hit their peak. As such, that’s why I’m here. I’m here to help guide you through the fantasy football season and decide who you should try to trade for or trade away. So that way you can keep on winning and hopefully win a championship. Right now, you’re still assessing your team. Thus, you don’t want to react too quickly to veteran players who had a rough Week 1 or Week 2. That doesn’t mean you can’t take advantage of other people who want to get rid of them. Just FYI, the scoring is for PPR. FYI, all the stats come from our very own Fantasy Data. Here’s my opinion on who you should Buy Low/Sell High:
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Buy Low
Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars, Quarterback
Look, Lawrence isn’t going to be the QB22 at the end of the season. He’s going to finish as a top-twelve quarterback. If you’re in the market for a QB because of Joe Burrow’s injury or because you don’t believe that Fields will get fixed, I’d look to deal for Lawrence. He’s had a couple of rough games, including Week Two against the Chiefs. However, this Jaguars’ offense is too good. T-Law has too many strong options to throw to that he will get it figured out. This is still an elite NFL quarterback that’s proven what we are talking about. Lawrence has a terrific matchup this weekend against the Texans. That’s just what the doctor ordered to get him right and firing on all cylinders.
Breece Hall, New York Jets, Running Back
Hall may be just RB38 on the season, but he’s far more valuable than that. Dalvin Cook has done absolutely nothing with his touches so far. He’s proving to not be a thorn in the side of Hall as Hall continues to outperform him and garner touches. Hall saw four rushes against the Cowboys. That was more due to game script as the Jets fell behind early and couldn’t ever get close again. I’m willing to overlook how he did against the toughest defense in the NFL. The Jets will be running the ball a lot with Zach Wilson at quarterback. We saw what Hall could do in Week One when he had 127 rushing yards on just 10 attempts. If you can trade a Javonte Williams or even Derrick Henry for him, I would.
Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals, Wide Receiver
Well, with the Burrow injury news, and how bad the Bengals have looked, it’s a prime time to buy Chase when his stock is at his lowest ever. He’s the WR54 on the season with only 10 catches for 70 yards. He’s still seeing plenty of targets with 17 so far. Unfortunately, the Bengals haven’t been able to get Chase the deep ball that he’s skilled at. His longest catch of the year is just 13 yards. That’s going to change especially once Burrow is healthy. It might take a couple more weeks before Chase gets back to putting up his typical numbers, but he could easily be a league winner. How often could you get the overall WR2 in the draft at fantasy WR2 prices? Not often. That’s why you buy when his stock is at the lowest it’s been. Buy into the fact he’s still seeing eight-plus targets per game.
AJ Brown, Philadelphia Eagles, Wide Receiver
No one predicted that Brown would be the WR44 through two weeks. However, that’s where he is as Devonta Smith has seen the larger share of targets. That will change though as Brown is too talented to not get plenty of targets. He’s still seeing eight targets a game right now and has caught 11 of them for 108 yards. He’s getting the work, but the touchdown hasn’t come nor has the big deep ball. The Eagles are still getting used to a new-look offense with a new offensive coordinator. That’s why it’s time to strike for a top-tier wide receiver like Brown. He’s still a safe bet to finish as a WR1 this year than not. If you could trade DJ Moore or Terry McLaurin for Brown, do it. Brown’s a proven weapon that has a lethal connection with Jalen Hurts. He will score a ton of points soon and you’ll wish he was on your team.
Honorable Mentions: George Kittle, Dallas Goedert, Travis Etienne Jr., Joe Mixon, Jaylen Waddle
Sell High
Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans, Running Back
Derrick Henry is somehow the RB8 on the season. This speaks more to the position seeing an unheard-of amount of injuries and not great play than to how well Henry is doing. He’s ceding a lot of touches and snaps to Tyjae Spears. Plus, Henry isn’t doing much with his rushes. On 40 attempts, he has just 143 yards, good enough for a 3.6-yard per carry. He does have a touchdown and has caught five of his seven targets for 71 yards. That’s lifting his value a lot right now. However, I’d be reaching out to the running back owners of Saquon Barkley, Aaron Jones, Austin Ekeler, and others to see if they could be enticed by a past-their-prime Henry. This is Henry’s worst yards per carry in his career by 0.6 yards. That’s not uplifting to see plus Spears is continuing to get a lot of work. It’s time to move past King Henry before the insane amount of carries catches up to his body.
Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers, Quarterback
Love is a fine NFL quarterback. He could certainly continue to develop and be a top-twelve quarterback. However, he’s had two super-friendly matchups against the Bears and Falcons. I’m not willing to bet that he will continue to be the QB2 in fantasy. I still have him as a QB2 when it’s all said and done. Thus, if you could trade him for Burrow or Lawrence, I would gladly do so. Love doesn’t have much rushing ability to lift his floor. Plus, he has only thrown the ball 52 times over two games. That’s the lowest of the first 19 fantasy quarterbacks. What happens when the Packers are forced to throw the ball a lot to keep the score close? He’s only completing 55.8% of his passes, again the lowest in the first 15 quarterbacks in fantasy. I’d sell high before he melts down.
Skyy Moore, Wide Receiver, Kansas City Chiefs
Everyone wants the WR1 of the Chiefs. Skyy Moore could certainly be that guy. However, he’s not seeing a large number of targets. If you can sell him for a guy like Christian Kirk, do it. Skyy is the WR58 on the season, but is coming off a strong Week 2 when he caught three passes for 70 yards and a touchdown. He only saw four targets all game. The touchdown was a fluke and not something you can rely on. Mahome spread the ball out to nine guys last game. Guessing who will be the guy to have each week will be a headache. Rather, you should just trade him while he is coming off a good week. Get another more reliable WR3 versus a hot/cold play. Your week could depend on how your WR3 does as to whether you win or lose. Don’t let Moore cost you a win. Remember, you sell when the iron is hot.
Hunter Henry, New England Patriots, Tight End
I don’t know if you have noticed, but Henry is currently the TE2 through two weeks. That isn’t going to continue. While he might continue to be a late-end TE1, I wouldn’t put money on him being a top-five option. Henry is overly reliant on touchdowns. Mac Jones loves him in the red zone, but touchdowns aren’t a reliable way to score points. He’s only seen 13 targets and the Patriots as an offense isn’t that good. If you could trade Henry for Dalton Kincaid or Sam LaPorta, I would. The same is true if you have him as a backup. Trade him for a running back or something. Tight ends are easy to replace. That’s why you have to sell high when you can. Because Henry could easily collapse this weekend and put up three or so points.
Honorable Mentions: Kyle Pitts, D’Andre Swift, Raheem Mostert, Brian Robinson
As always, I’m more than happy to talk on Twitter and Discord. Let me know your thoughts on these players if you managed to trade for/away from them. If you need thoughts on any trade, my DMs are open 18/7. I respond to everyone. Hope you win your week this week. Let’s have a successful fantasy football season this year. We are about to be two weeks into our Championship winning season!
Of course,
May the Force be with You…
