DraftKings NFL Picks Week 5: Chalk, Pivots, and Punts
DraftKings NFL Picks Week 5
INITIAL THOUGHTS
Week 5 presents us with the first two teams on their bye week, thus reducing the size of the slate by one game. As we've seen this season, there could be more games coming off the slate if any more teams have a Covid outbreak. I bring up the smaller slate size because, from this point on (until bye weeks are over), it's going to be a bit harder to create lineups that will be unique enough to separate us from the rest of the field but still have +EV plays in them so our unique build(s) will score the points we need to not only get into the green but also have a shot at some top prize money. There are 5 games on the slate that have 50+ point totals as of writing this intro on Tuesday. Of those games, only Carolina at Atlanta and Jacksonville at Houston have a spread of less than a touchdown. Those are the games I am initially drawn to. The Match-Up Chart reveals a few more individual match-ups that we might be able to exploit at lower ownership rates. There are also game theory plays and salary-friendly plays that could steer our decisions this week. Let's have a look at what those might be. Note: This article is usually completed just as Friday injury reports are coming out, so be sure to check back throughout the weekend as I continue my research and add players I like to the article and my player pool. This article is the narrative version of the player pool.
Jess Jones
NorCal native Jesse Jones has been obsessed with fantasy football since first joining and winning a league in 1994. Always looking for an edge, Jess has been ahead of the curve mining data and building customized spreadsheet rankings and projections while others showed up to draft day asking for a pencil and a cheat sheet. Avid DFS, Best Ball and Re-Draft player that dabbles lightly in Dynasty. When not geeking out on Fantasy Football, Jess can be found hiking, kayaking, swimming, playing tabletop games, cooking, trading equities, listening to good tunes and/or enjoying a craft brew or two.