MLB Picks Today
In Monday’s smaller MLB slate, we have a couple of high paying money line bets, as we like the Marlins to pull off the big upset over the Dodgers tonight. We also like the Giants to pick up a road win over Philadelphia on Monday. This Giants vs. Phillies matchup is our highest projected scoring game of the day on Monday.
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Moneyline Plays
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Marlins (+220) – Dodgers (-274) | O/U 8.5
Los Angeles is the heavy favorite in this game, sitting at -274, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs. The Dodgers are 23-13 overall and lead the NL West by 5.5 games. They are currently on a four-game winning streak and have gone 8-5 in series so far this year. Miami is 10-26 and is 14.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They are just 1-9 against other NL East teams.
So far, the Marlins are 5-15 at home and 5-11 on the road. They are 7-15 as the underdog and 3-11 as the favorite. Miami’s offense is 22nd in scoring, putting up 3.8 runs per game, and they are hitting .228 as a team. The Marlins are also 18th in homers and have a team OPS of .627.
Los Angeles has the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They are even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. The Dodgers also lead the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. They are also the top team in the league in avoiding strikeouts and are the top home run hitting team.
Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts have been the Dodgers’ top two hitters this year. Ohtani is hitting .364 with 10 homers, and Betts is batting .352 with six homers. Ohtani has gone 11/25 over his last six games and is on a five-game hitting streak.
On the mound for the Marlins is Roddery Munoz, who is coming off a win in his last start. He went six innings and gave up just one earned run. For the Dodgers, Walker Buehler will be making his first start of the season.
Miami Marlins ML +220
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Giants (+167) – Phillies (-201) | O/U 8.0
Today’s game between the Giants and Phillies is set for 4:05 PM from Citizens Bank Park, and the Phillies are the heavy favorite at -201. The over/under line is at 8 runs. The Phillies are 24-11 overall and lead the NL East by 2.5 games. They are also 3-3 in divisional games. The Giants are 15-20 and are 7.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. They are 6-8 in divisional games and have lost three straight games.
San Francisco is starting Mason Black, who is making his debut this season. Zack Wheeler is starting for the Phillies and is 3-3 with a 1.91 ERA. He has five quality starts this year and has won three straight games. Wheeler’s ERA is 2.17 at home compared to 1.89 on the road.
Thairo Estrada is on a five-game hitting streak for the Giants and is hitting .256 overall. He is 8/23 in his last six games with one home run. As a team, the Giants are 23rd in scoring and are hitting .238 overall. They are 13th in homers but are 16th in isolated power.
The Phillies have one of the league’s best offenses and are 8th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They are also 4th in batting average and are led by Alec Bohm, who is hitting .360. He is 16/39 in his last 10 games and has four homers. Bohm has 32 RBIs, which is the 2nd best mark in baseball.
San Francisco Giants ML +167
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals
Brewers (+122) – Royals (-147) | O/U 8.5
Tonights game between the Brewers and Royals should be a high-scoring affair, as the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. The Royals are favored at -147, and the Brewers are +122. First pitch is set for 7:40 PM from Kauffman Stadium, and the game can be seen on BSWI.
William Contreras is one of the Brewers’ top hitters this season, and he is currently on a seven-game hitting streak. Overall, he is hitting .336 with five homers and 27 RBIs. As for the Royals, Salvador Perez is hitting .328 and is 3rd in homers with eight. He has also driven in 30 runs. Bobby Witt Jr. is hitting .319 for the Royals and has four homers.
Right-hander Bryse Wilson is 2-1 this year with an ERA of 3.00, and he has a WHIP of 1.00. Wilson is still looking for his first quality start of the season. On the other side, Cole Ragans is 2-2 with an ERA of 3.44 for the Royals. He has one complete game and four quality starts. So far, opponents are hitting .252 off of him.
Overall, the Brewers are 20-13 and are tied for the NL Central lead. The Royals are 20-15 and are 2nd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 2.5 games. Milwaukee has gone 8-5 vs. the NL Central, while the Royals are 8-5 in divisional games. The Brewers have gone 13-6 on the road, and the Royals are 13-7 at home.
Milwaukee Brewers ML +122
Los Angeles Angels vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Angels (+118) – Pirates (-142) | O/U 8.0
Monday’s interleague matchup between the Angels and Pirates features a moneyline of +118 for the Angels and -142 for the Pirates. The over/under line is set at 8 runs. First pitch from PNC Park is set for 6:40 PM ET.
Los Angeles is 12-22 overall and looking to snap a two-game losing streak. The Pirates are 16-19 and have won two straight games. The Angels are 5th in the AL West, trailing the Mariners by seven games. Pittsburgh is 4th in the NL Central and five games behind the Brewers.
Overall, the Angels are 11-19 when they are the underdog and 1-3 when favored. As for the Pirates, they are 11-10 when they are the underdog and 5-9 as the favorite. The Angels have dropped five straight series, and the Pirates are 4-4-3 overall in series this year.
Angels’ left-hander Tyler Anderson is 2-3 this season with a 2.23 ERA. He has four quality starts and is coming off a no-decision. So far, Anderson has given up at least one homer in four straight outings. As for the Pirates, Mitch Keller is 2-3 with a 5.17 ERA. He is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Athletics.
Los Angeles is 19th in scoring and averaging 4.1 runs per game. As for the Pirates, they are 27th in scoring and averaging 3.6 runs per contest. Pittsburgh has the 3rd most walks in the league and an OBP of .308. However, they have the worst isolated power figure in the league at .109. The Angels are 10th in homers and 12th in batting average.
For the Pirates, Bryan Reynolds leads the team with 17 RBIs. Over his last seven games, Oneil Cruz is 6/24 with two homers. Connor Joe has also homered in six straight games.
Los Angeles Angels ML +118
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins
Mariners (-133) – Twins (+111) | O/U 7.5
The Mariners and Twins features two offenses that have been struggling of late. The Mariners are hitting just .223 as a team and are averaging 3.6 runs per game. On the other side, the Twins are 11th in scoring at 4.6 runs per contest. Minnesota is also 12th in homers with 34 this season.
Seattle is the favorite for Monday’s game, and they are 19-15 overall and have won two straight games. The Twins are 19-14 and trail the Guardians by 2.5 games in the AL Central. The Mariners are 11-7 on the road and 8-7 at home. On the other side, the Twins are 8-7 at home and 11-7 on the road.
Cal Raleigh is just 3/28 in his last eight games but does have two homers in that stretch. For the season, he is 3rd in the league with eight homers. Jorge Polanco is hitting .193 for the season but is on a seven-game hitting streak and is 9/33 in his last eight games. Mitch Haniger is hitting .212 for the Mariners but does have 18 RBIs.
Minnesota’s Ryan Jeffers is 8/26 in his last seven games and is hitting .291 for the season. He also leads the team with 22 RBIs.
Luis Castillo is 3-4 this year with a 3.46 ERA and has four quality starts. He is also averaging 10.58 strikeouts per nine innings. Castillo is coming off a seven-inning shutout performance. Opponents are hitting .247 off him this season. As for the Twins, Simeon Woods Richardson is 0-0 and will be making his third start of the season.
Minnesota Twins ML +111
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
Tigers (-101) – Guardians (-119) | O/U 7.5
Monday’s matchup between the Tigers and Guardians is set for 6:10 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland. The Guardians are the slight favorite at -119, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Detroit is 18-16 overall, and they are four games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Tigers are 9-4 in divisional games and have dropped three straight games. The Guardians are 22-12 and have won two straight games. They are 4-1 in the division.
Triston McKenzie will be on the mound for the Guardians, and he is 2-2 with a 4.34 ERA. McKenzie is coming off a seven-inning outing where he gave up two earned runs and one homer. As for the Tigers, Jack Flaherty is 0-1 through six starts and has an ERA of 4.00. Flaherty has four quality starts and a WHIP of 1.03. He struck out 14 in his last outing.
Offensively, the Tigers are 21st in homers and are hitting .224 as a team. The Guardians are 7th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. Steven Kwan is hitting .353 for the Guardians and has three homers. He is 12/32 over his last nine games. As for the Tigers, Riley Greene has three homers in his last nine games and is hitting .269. He and Mark Canha are tied for the team lead with 16 RBIs.
Cleveland Guardians ML -119
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs
Padres (+101) – Cubs (-121) | O/U 7.0
Christopher Morel has been a bright spot for the Cubs offense this season and is 4th in the league with seven homers and 11th in the league with 21 RBIs. Morel is hitting .257 with four homers over his last 10 games. The Cubs are 9th in scoring this year at 4.8 runs per game and are hitting .237 as a team, which is 15th in the league. They are 10th in homers and 8th in on-base percentage.
Yu Darvish is 1-1 this year with an ERA of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.15. He is holding opponents to a .213 average and is coming off a win over the Reds. Darvish has given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Darvish has made one road start this year and has an ERA of 5.4 in that outing.
San Diego is 18-19 overall and trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games in the NL West. The Padres are 10-9 in divisional games and have won two straight series. As the favorite, they are 12-11 and 6-8 as the underdog. Overall, the Padres are 6-5-2 in series this year.
San Diego is sending Darvish to the mound, and he will be facing a Cubs lineup that is 12-4 at home and has won two straight at Wrigley Field. The Cubs are 21-14 overall and are tied with the Brewers for the NL Central lead. They are 2-1 in divisional games and have won two straight overall.
First pitch for this one is set for 7:40 PM ET, and the Cubs are the slight favorite at -121. The over/under line is set at 7 runs, and the Padres are +101 on the moneyline. The forecast is calling for clear skies and temperatures in the mid 60s.
Chicago Cubs ML -121
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Mets (+104) – Cardinals (-124) | O/U 8.0
Heading into Monday’s game, the Mets are 16-18 compared to the Cardinals at 15-19. Kyle Gibson is starting for the Cardinals, and he is facing off against Sean Manaea for the Mets. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Cardinals are the slight favorite at -124. First pitch is set for 7:45 PM from Busch Stadium, and you can catch this one on SNY.
So far, the Mets offense has been better on the road, as they are 2nd in the league in road scoring at 5.5 runs per game. Overall, they are 17th in scoring and are hitting .236 as a team, which is 16th in the league. The Cardinals offense is 29th in scoring at 3.5 runs per game and have the worst slugging percentage in the league. One of the few bright spots for the Cardinals has been Nolan Arenado, who is hitting .287 and is 8/22 in his last six games.
Sean Manaea is 1-1 this year with an ERA of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.43. He is facing a Cardinals lineup that has the league’s worst home run total. Kyle Gibson is 2-2 this year with an ERA of 3.79 and has made four quality starts. So far, he has allowed six homers and is coming off an outing where he went seven innings and gave up one earned run.
Brandon Nimmo is hitting .221 for the Mets but has an OBP of .375 and is on a four-game hitting streak. Over his last seven games, Brett Baty is 7/22 with two homers. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso lead the Mets in homers but are both hitting below .210.
St. Louis Cardinals ML -124
Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics
Rangers (-135) – Athletics (+113) | O/U 8.0
Today’s matchup between the Rangers and Athletics features two offenses trending in different directions. The Rangers are one of the top-scoring teams in the league, while the Athletics are 28th in runs scored. Texas is 19-16 and 5-8 in the AL West, while the Athletics are 17-18 and 3rd in the AL West, 2.5 games behind the Mariners. The Rangers are the favorite at -135, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs.
Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers and is 0-4 with an ERA of 5.10. He has yet to earn a win on the road and has an ERA of 7.34 at home. Heaney will be facing an Athletics lineup that has Abraham Toro swinging a hot bat, as he is 9/22 in his last six games. For the season, Toro is hitting .267 with three homers. Heaney will also have to deal with Brent Rooker, who has three homers in his last five games.
Adolis Garcia is one of the Rangers’ top power threats, as his eight homers are the 3rd most in the league. He is also on a seven-game hitting streak. The Rangers are 6th in batting average this year and are among the league leaders in home runs. Marcus Semien is also swinging a hot bat for the Rangers, as he is on a six-game hitting streak.
Alex Wood will be on the mound for the Athletics and is 1-2 with an ERA of 6.32. Wood has yet to pitch more than 5 2/3 innings in a game this year. He will be facing a Rangers offense that is 2nd in scoring and is even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Wood’s ERA is 8.6 at home compared to 4.43 on the road. He is coming off a start where he gave up two earned runs in four innings and is looking to bounce back from three straight starts of allowing at least four earned runs.
Texas Rangers ML -135
