Buy Low Sell High Week 11 (The Playoff Push)

Fantasy Football Buy Low Sell High: Week 11 (The Playoff Push)

This week only sees two teams on Bye: the Rams and Broncos. The combination of 2 teams on BYE and all the injuries have decimated so many teams. Let’s survive the Bye-tragedies together and make some trades to get a win this week, and throughout the rest of the season.

Now, it’s always helpful to have people give you some advice on players that should only rise in value or have hit their peak. As such, that’s why I’m here. I’m here to help guide you through the fantasy football season and decide who you should go try to trade for or trade away. So that way you can keep on winning and hopefully win a championship. Right now, you’re still assessing your team. Thus, you don’t want to react too quickly to veteran players who have had a rough start to the season. If they keep struggling past this week, it might be time to make some team-changing moves. That doesn’t mean you can’t take advantage of other people who want to get rid of them. Just FYI, the scoring is for PPR unless otherwise noted. FYI, all the stats come from our very own FantasyData. Here’s my opinion on who you should Buy Low/Sell High:

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Buy Low

Miles Sanders

Miles could be a league winner this year. He’s missed the last few weeks due to a knee injury but is set to come back this week. Since his injury, the Eagles have been committing to the run a lot more. This is great news as it will allow Miles to get a larger workload prior to what he had pre-injury. Additionally, head coach Nick Sirianni spoke this week that Miles Sanders will be the starting running back when he plays and will get used. That’s big, as it shows that the Eagles are committed to involving him. Which, should be obvious since he’s a great RB, but it’s still nice to hear. Miles has speed, maneuverability, and can change the game at any time. Over the 7 games he played, he averaged 4.8 yards per rush (ypr), which is a great number. Due to the limited rushing attempts, he was getting, he only garnered 300 rushing yards. However, he still had 19 receptions on 24 targets for 118 yards too. Don’t worry, the touchdowns will come. Even better is Sanders’ schedule. He still has to face the Giants twice, Washington twice, the Cowboys, and the Jets. That’s a hugely favorable schedule for running backs. If you can get him at his bottom price, where he’s only averaging 9 ppg before it grows, do it. I’d sell Darrel Williams, Chuba Hubbard, Chase Edmonds, or various others for him.

James Robinson

It’s JROB time! James Robinson is quite likely to lead teams to at least the championship matchup, which is why you want him on your team. He faces the Jets and Texans in Weeks 15-16. That’s gold for playoffs! Yes, I know that the championship is Week 17 now, but you have to get there first. James had a stellar game last week despite only playing 59% of the snaps. He had over 18+ points in the loss to the Colts. Despite the fact he’s only a week removed from coming off an injury, I have full faith in him. James’ the Jaguars’ workhorse running back. This is probably the cheapest you can get him too. He’s the RB14 on the season and averages 16 ppg. Yum. Robinson has an elite 5.4 ypr and has racked up 539 yards, 22 receptions, and 160 receiving yards in only 8 games or so. Also, don’t forget he still has 6 touchdowns too. It’s hard to find RB1s at this price this late into the season. See if you can’t sell Hunt, Conner, Gibson, or any other RB2s for him.

Bryan Edwards

I get it, you want nothing to do with this cursed organization. Well, It never hurts to have solid depth. Edwards is exactly that. He is a flex player with lots of upsides. Plus, he’s the new WR1 of the Las Vegas Raiders for better or worse. He’s your prototypical alpha WR that’s still figuring it out. Besides that, he is averaging a massive 20.7 yards per reception (ypr2), this year. That’s amazing for fantasy. You want deep-ball WRs. Furthermore, he’s seen at least 4 targets per game and has 2 TDs in his last 3 games. Overall, he’s caught 21 balls on 39 targets for 434 yards. Not bad for a flex-WR. Secondly, he’s had over 60 yards or a TD in 5 of the 9 weeks he’s played in. With the Raiders defense struggling, Derek Carr will be forced to pass more. This only helps Edwards and your fantasy team. Surprisingly, the Raiders have a very friendly passing schedule ahead of them against the Cowboys, WFT, KC, Indy, and the Browns. If you can acquire this super cheap WR for your WR4/5, I’d do it. There’s a good chance he finishes this season as a WR3.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

He’s back! Well, sorta. He’s soon to be back, perhaps even this Sunday against the Cowboys. CEH has been out since Week 5, but prior to that had been rounding into form. In his two full games, Weeks 3 and 4, he had over a hundred rushing yards. Clyde was averaging a very healthy 4.7 ypr and was surely going to start scoring rushing TDs. Despite being out since Week 5 and playing fewer games than Saquon or Miles Sanders, he still has more rushing yards. Overall on the season, he has 8 receptions on 10 targets, for 50 yards, 2 TDs, and 304 rushing yards. His per-game average of 10.5 points will surely go up as he returns to a Chiefs offense that is playing a lot better than it was earlier this season. CEH is walking into a fantasy-friendly role on the Chiefs that will give you a high chance of CEH being an RB2 from here on out. Plus, he has a super-friendly schedule. CEH still faces the Steelers, Cowboys, LAC, Bengals, and Raiders. I like that schedule a lot. See if you can’t acquire him for Gibby, Brandon Bolden, Nyheim Hines, or any other RB2/3 that isn’t top-16.

Other Buy-Low Targets: Mike Gesicki, DJ Moore, James Conner, Kyler Murray

Sell High

Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson.jpg Sigh, it saddens me to see how Gibson has been used this year. We had such high hopes for him. Unfortunately, due to various reasons such as injury, game-script, and infectivity, we can kiss his 3-down dream role goodbye. Instead, we will continue to see Gibby fight with J.D. McKissic for touches through the end of the season. Of course, Gibson hasn’t helped himself. Yes, he has 506 yards rushing but is only averaging a 3.7 ypr. That’s not going to cut it if you want to be a starting running back in the NFL. His receiving has been nice but hard to come by with him only garnering 19 receptions on 23 targets for 158 yards. Basically, the only way you have been bailed out this year for starting Gibson is through his touchdowns. He has 6 of them. I refuse to be restricted by a player by hoping he scores a TD. I want the touchdown to be the icing, not the filling. As the Washington team continually plays from behind, Gibson sees less and less work. I do think Gibson does enough to maintain his 13 ppg, but you need more than that if you want to win a championship. See if you can’t sell Gibson and his friendly schedule for Robinson, Damien Harris, David Montgomery, or James Conner.

Darrel Williams

Well, this should hopefully be obvious. Darrel’s time as an RB1 on the Chiefs is over as soon as Clyde comes back. Don’t get stuck holding the bag. Despite being really, the only option in KC, Darrel did a lot and not a lot. He’s averaged a pathetic 3.7 ypr behind an offensive line that is decent at run-blocking. It was pretty obvious that it was like watching someone shove a square peg into a round hole. Williams is a great third-down running back and red-zone back. However, he’s not a main-running back. He’s isn’t someone you showcase. His touchdowns have carried him in fantasy. He’s currently the RB16 with an overall stat line of 343 rushing yards, 31 receptions, and 271 yards. His 5 touchdowns have enabled him to be an RB2 and carry a 12.2 ppg. Now, the Chiefs will have their star back and will not be forced to lean on Darrel. If you can sell him for Javonte, Damien Harris, a hurt Hunt, Elijah Mitchell, or any other RB2/3, I’d do it. Don’t forget the Chiefs haven’t even had their bye yet either.

Mike Davis

Look up the definition of the football term “jag”, and you’ll see the picture of Mike Davis. For those who are unaware, “jag” means “just another guy”. It’s a term used to show that a player is not a star, but rather just your average everyday NFL player that doesn’t make any highlights. Or in this case, Mike Davis as that’s what he has done this season. So, how do you sell him? Well, Cordarrele Patterson is injured now and this gives you your chance. I don’t want Davis on my team and neither should you. He’s averaging a horrendous 3.3 ypr and has only 289 rushing yards. His receiving has carried him as he has 24 catches on 38 targets for 115 yards and 2 TDs. Sell him on the fact that he has scored more than 10 PPR points 6 times this year. Just don’t look at his awful schedule that is insanely tough. He has to face the 49ers, Lions, Bucs, and Bills still. It’s better to get rid of him than be stuck with him! You won’t get much, but maybe you can get some guys like Ty Johnson, Nyheim Hines, an injured Chris Carson, or any other RB3. It’s worth it.

Devonta Smith

Devonta’s been on a tear of late. He’s scored 3 touchdowns and has over 170 receiving yards the last two weeks. So, why in the world am I telling you to sell him? I just don’t trust the Eagles’ passing game, and this is the highest price you can get for him, likely all season. Smith’s an elite talent. He’s just being wasted by being stuck with a QB that refuses to throw the ball enough. Despite that, Devonta is still the WR25 and averaging 12.6 ppg. He’s seen at least 6 targets in all but 2 games and has at least 60 yards in 6 games. That’s great. His overall stat-line is fine too with 42 receptions for 603 yards on 68 targets. His 4 TDs are fine too. However, don’t forget that this production came when Goedert has missed a lot of time. He missed two games earlier this year, and then suffered a concussion last week very early on into the game. With Goedert and Sanders coming back, I’m not sure that Smith will get enough work. Plus, they have a harsher schedule by playing mainly their rivals, all of whom are competent at stopping WRs. Plus, he still has his bye week. I sell players when they are at their peak price and this is now. If you can sell him for Amari Cooper, DeAndre Hopkins, AJ Brown, or two WR3’s or another pair, I’d do it. It wouldn’t be easy, but you want the more reliable WR with a higher upside. Just remember to trust your gut and do what is best for your team.

Other Sell-High Targets: Jaylen Waddle, Mac Jones, Jeff Wilson Jr., Ezekiel Elliot

As always, I’m more than happy to talk on Twitter and Discord. Let me know your thoughts on these players if you managed to trade for/away from them. If you need thoughts on any trade, my DMs are open 18/7. I respond to everyone. Hope you win your week this week. Let’s have a successful fantasy football season this year. We are about to be two weeks into our Championship winning season! Let’s go win Week 5!

Of course,

May the Force be with You…