Dynasty Football Buy Low/Sell High
Whether you’re rebuilding for next year’s rookie draft, stuck in the middle or approaching contender status, there are many moves you can make to better position yourself not only for this season but for seasons to come.
Weekly, I’m going to focus on some buy-low and sell-high players to help you reach your dynasty goals. With that being said, let’s get into it.
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Buy-Low Trade Targets
Alec Pierce – WR, Indianapolis Colts
Given that we’re talking dynasty formats, trying to pry away a second-round rookie won’t be easy. Having said that, the inability (thus far) from pierce to make an impact either in the preseason or week one against Houston, could make it possible.
In his first career game, Pierce dropped the ball in the endzone, had another that was broken up and was on the receiving end of a brutal hit by Jalen Pitre which resulted in an unsportsmanlike penalty which caused the ball to come loose.
He could have easily put up a double-digit day but was shut out on 47 snaps with his 51.1 percent snap share being third in the wide receiver room. This might be your best opportunity to acquire the potential number two outside receiver in an offense with limited pass-catching options next to Michael Pittman Jr. and slot Paris Campbell.
Nico Collins – WR, Houston Texans
Collectively, outside of Brandin Cooks and Dameon Pierce, we weren’t expecting a lot from this Texan offense this season. While the offense didn’t look explosive, someone has to catch the ball for the Texans.
Enter, Nico Collins.
Collins is a second-year wide receiver that you should be looking to buy low on before he breaks out. Regardless if Davis Mills is the guy or not, if the Texans are going to stay in games, he’s going to have to throw the ball.
Collins started the year with an 8.3 percent target share behind only Cooks and Rex Burkhead and his big frame makes him an ideal target opposite Cooks for Houston. An 8.3 percent target share isn’t going to win you many fantasy games, but he’s the clear number two when it comes to the receiver position. Now’s the time to send feelers out to get him on your bench.
Allen Robinson II – WR, Los Angeles Rams
This one’s scary.
Robinson was essentially non-existent against the Buffalo Bills. He was a big disappointment for people hoping he would start the year off as their WR2, especially considering how last year went. However, his game against the Bills does provide us with some positive points.
The Rams looked like a total disaster with Matthew Stafford throwing three interceptions and a QBR of 63.03 percent. With that stat line alone, we know Sean McVay will switch things up next week.
Robinson II was on the field for 65 snaps, only two less than Cooper Kupp. And while he was only targeted twice, Stafford seems to have tunnel vision for only two-three pass catchers. I’m betting that talent will win out and Robinson II finds his way right next to Kupp and Tyler Higbee.
If you’re a middle-of-the-pack team or a team in contention for a title this season, now is the time to pull the trigger on the Rams pass catcher. The Rams have Atlanta on the schedule next week and I’m confident this will be your best opportunity to trade for him on the cheap.
Sell-High Trade Suggestions
Antonio Gibson – RB, Washington Commanders
I don’t think there’s a more obvious sell-high candidate than Antonio Gibson.
Given his game against the Jaguars, and injuries to running backs like Elijah Mitchell, Najee Harris and J.K. Dobbins, there will be a market for him and now’s the time to capitalize. He out-snapped J.D. McKissic 49 to 31 and did pick up a target on third down that he took for 25 yards.
His value won’t be higher than it is for the next few weeks. We already know the coaching staff prefers Brian Robinson Jr. to Gibson based on training camp, and he’s scheduled back between weeks four and six. Time to strike while the irons are hot.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire – RB, Kansas City Chiefs
The same conversation applies here as the one above with Gibson. It was nice to finally see Clyde Edwards-Helaire put up a big stat-line and be involved in the early game plan. But that’s where the good times pretty much ended.
CEH was second in running back snap share at 35.8 percent behind Jerick McKinnon’s 38.8 percent, that’s not what you want to see. We know the Chiefs are a throw-first team, but the lack of involvement in the second half of the game doesn’t sit well with me.
Couple that with the emergence of Isiah Pacheco, McKinnon’s involvement and last season’s ups and downs, this could be a full-blown committee before long. It might be a good time to get out of your CEH shares early and trade for something with a little more certainty going forward for your team.
Josh Jacobs – RB, Las Vegas Raiders
The lack of depth at the running back position is the reason why we’re looking to sell three running backs. Unlike Gibson or CEH, Jacobs is more of a long-term outlook sell.
While Jacobs didn’t have the high-end fantasy point games as the players above, he still had a snap share of 59.6 percent and an opportunity share of 64.7 percent. That being said, he’ll likely be stuck in a committee this season and long-term, the Raiders have already drafted his prospective replacement in Zamir White.
As the season goes on, unfortunately, running backs will continue to get hurt. To maximize value on Jacobs, it’s important to target some RB-needy managers early when panic sets in.
Redraft leagues are a sprint, dynasty leagues are a marathon. It’s important to stay level-headed and avoid making rash decisions based on week-to-week results. It’s more important to pick a direction, make a plan and stick to it. Stay tuned to FantasyData for weekly buy/sell options to keep you on track.
