Fantasy Football Rankings vs. ECR: Week 12
Bradley Stalder's Fantasy Rankings vs. Expert Consensus Rankings
Every year FantasyPros hosts a Fantasy Football Rankings Accuracy contest with over 200 of the industry's top writers and experts. The scoring is fierce and requires experts to perfectly predict the order in which Quarterbacks, Running Backs, Wide Receivers, and Tight Ends will rank at the end of every NFL Week. Week 12's Rankings Contest has its own challenges with six teams playing on Thanksgiving, pushing this content out earlier in the week. Check out the bottom of the article for my most up-to-date rankings on FantasyPros, as I anticipate a lot of news will come out to change my ranks between now and Sunday at 1 PM EST.
Last week, I finished 68th overall in the contest, with a top-7 finish at TE and the #1 overall ranking for Kickers. Entering Week 12, I stayed at 46th overall in accuracy out of 211 fantasy rankers year-to-date, including the 27th most accurate ranker for wide receivers and the 5th highest in IDP accuracy. I'm looking to make a late-season run in this contest to get back into contention for a top-10 overall bid.
Just a reminder that I also advise FantasyData's weekly Rankings. They're an excellent resource for anyone looking to win their league along with their player projections and advanced metrics.
Follow me on this journey as I highlight a few players I want to be higher or lower than the consensus for Week 12.
Higher Ranked QB
Geno Smith - The former 39th overall pick in the 2013 draft has far exceeded expectations this season. Coming into Week 12 off the bye, Geno Smith ranks 1st among all QBs in accuracy rating, 1st in true completion percentage, 1st in accuracy rating under pressure, 1st in accuracy rating in a clean pocket, and 1st in catchable pass rate. He's averaging nearly 19 fantasy points per game on the season and has finished as a top-5 QB three times in the last 10 games. Smith has thrown 2+ touchdowns in eight of his ten games, and has sprinkled in 20+ rush yards in half of his games. His Week 12 matchup against the Raiders looks great on paper. The Raiders, on average, give up 247 passing yards and nearly 2 passing TDs on the season for 20 fantasy points per game allowed to QBs. Sportsbooks also project a chance for a shootout with an O/U at 47.5, implying 25.5 points for Seattle. This is the path to success for Geno. Geno slots in as a top-6 candidate for me this week with Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray nursing injuries.
Smith is the consensus QB9.
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Bradley Stalder
Bradley Stalder has over twelve years of fantasy football experience in auction, dynasty, redraft, and bestball formats. Before developing the Fantasy Football Fanalysts Podcast (@FFFanalysts) with Billy Muzio (@FFMuzio), he also wrote fantasy football articles and created comprehensive player and team projections for 3CoSports.com. He earned his BS in Mathematical Science from Franciscan University and MEd with focus in Mathematics Education from the University of Notre Dame. He lives near Detroit, Michigan with his wife and three daughters. He teaches Math by day to 7th and 8th graders. You can follow him on Twitter at @FFStalder.