NBA Daily Fantasy Picks
The Heat travel to take on the Celtics in game one of the Eastern Conference Finals. Currently, the over/under is 210.5, with Boston favored to win by 8 points at home.
NBA Fantasy
Studs DFS Player
Jimmy Butler | Miami Heat
FantasyData Projection: 43 | DraftKings Cost: $9900
Today will be the third time this season that Jimmy Butler has faced off against the Celtics. In these games, he is averaging 44.2 fantasy points per game, which is better than his season average of 42.3. In his last game, he finished with 40.0 fantasy points in 41 minutes of action against the Knicks. Compared to today’s other options, he is 6th in usage rate and has taken 16.2% of the Heat’s field goal attempts.
Jaylen Brown | Boston Celtics
FantasyData Projection: 43 | DraftKings Cost: $8000
Against the Heat this season, Brown is averaging 43.4 fantasy points and finished with 49.4 in his previous game against Miami. This includes an average of 30.3 points per game and 8.3 rebounds. For the season, he is averaging 35.9 minutes per game and has a usage rate of 31.6 which is 2nd among today’s options.
Bam Adebayo | Miami Heat
FantasyData Projection: 38 | DraftKings Cost: $7400
So far, Bam Adebayo has faced off against the Celtics four times and is averaging 44.6 fantasy points and 25.0 points per game. Both figures are better than his season averages. Coming in at a price tag of $7400, Adebayo has a fantasy projection of 38.4. He has surpassed this figure in 56% of his games.
Al Horford | Boston Celtics
FantasyData Projection: 26 | DraftKings Cost: $5500
Although Al Horford isn’t one of today’s top options in terms of minutes played, he has seen his playing time increase in two straight contests. Over his last three games, he has averaged 24.3 fantasy points and has a season-long figure of 25.9.
Value DFS Player
Marcus Smart | Boston Celtics
FantasyData Projection: 28 | DraftKings Cost: $5400
At first glance, Marcus Smart would be someone to avoid given that the Heat are 2nd in points allowed per game. Yet, Smart is averaging 29.4 fantasy points per game against top ten defenses this season. This includes averaging 13.2 points per contest. For the season, Smart has hit 41.5% of his field-goal attempts and has a player efficiency rating of 15.1.
Malcolm Brogdon | Boston Celtics
FantasyData Projection: 29 | DraftKings Cost: $5000
It is worth adding Malcolm Brogdon in today’s lineup as he is one of the better value plays available. This year, he has outperformed his fantasy average when taking on top ten opponents at defending PGs. In his last game, Brogdon finished with 18.5 fantasy points on 28 minutes of action. Over his last three contests, he has averaged 21.4 fantasy points per game.
Gabe Vincent | Miami Heat
FantasyData Projection: 18 | DraftKings Cost: $4500
So far this season, Gabe Vincent is averaging 17.9 fantasy points per game and comes in at a price tag of $4500. Vincent enters today’s action having increased his fantasy production in three straight games and finished with 19.75 DFS points in his most recent game against Knicks.
Caleb Martin | Miami Heat
FantasyData Projection: 19 | DraftKings Cost: $4000
So far this year, Caleb Martin has played in 71 games and is averaging 21.1 fantasy points per game, which is 10th compared to today’s options. One thing to note is that he has outpaced his season usage rate (14.5) in two straight games. This includes his most recent game, putting up 8 points and 5 rebounds against the Knicks. When looking across his late three games, he is averaging 20.4 DFS points.
