DraftKings NFL Picks Week 4: Chalk, Pivots, and Punts
DraftKings NFL Picks Week 4
INITIAL THOUGHTS
We're on to week 4 and hopefully, we're all doing well so far this year. I've made a profit every week but nothing big yet, so I'm digging in a little deeper than last week to see if I can spot anything else to get an edge. As always, my week starts by compiling data into a Google spreadsheet that displays what defenses have been allowing. You can find that one here, and I also produce a weekly DraftKings Workbook that has the data from the main sheets presented in match-up form, here. The idea is to look over the data to find trends, as well as reconciling that data by who played in those games (injuries, new starters, etc). Once that is completed, then I start my actual research for the week which is what goes into this write-up. My first impressions before digging deeper are to start whoever plays Seattle, Atlanta, Dallas, and the teams from New York. But, that is where the field will also start (and some end) their research. My first research project this week was to look at OL vs DL grades from PFF, look at the OL vs DL on Football Outsiders, and then look at Team Stats right here on Fantasy Data. One of the pages I have been relying on more this year is our NFL Snap Count page to see who is playing and who is getting the opportunity share. This is especially useful this season since we did not have a preseason to get clues from. Now we have the tools ready, let have a look under the hood for the DraftKings Week 4 Main Slate. Please note the Chalk Board below is already slightly outdated with some players being ruled out and/or questionable after publication.
Win Your Fantasy League!
Become a member at FantasyData and get access to the industry's best fantasy subscription available!
Jess Jones
NorCal native Jesse Jones has been obsessed with fantasy football since first joining and winning a league in 1994. Always looking for an edge, Jess has been ahead of the curve mining data and building customized spreadsheet rankings and projections while others showed up to draft day asking for a pencil and a cheat sheet. Avid DFS, Best Ball and Re-Draft player that dabbles lightly in Dynasty. When not geeking out on Fantasy Football, Jess can be found hiking, kayaking, swimming, playing tabletop games, cooking, trading equities, listening to good tunes and/or enjoying a craft brew or two.