Fantasy Football Sleepers: Week 11
Fantasy Football Sleepers: Week 11
Just seeing the 'Week 11' in this title hurts. It seems like the 2019 football season just kicked off, yet the fantasy playoffs are now less than a month away. Before we know it, the long, lonely offseason will be here and we'll have that protracted summer without our favorite hobby. These are truly the good times, so enjoy it while you can.
Of course, entering the lonesome offseason with a fantasy championship title would certainly make the tedious summer much more tolerable. Staying aggressive on the waiver wire and recognizing values and sleepers are two of the best in-season strategies that can help improve your odds of taking home the hardware.
As we prepare for Week 11, here are some sleepers to keep in mind that have a solid shot at exceeding their projections and increasing your odds of coming away with a much-needed victory in the march towards December's postseason.
Derek Carr (Oakland Raiders) - Overall, Carr hasn't been a difference-maker as he enters Week 11 with unimpressive QB2 numbers. However, he's played much better of late. Over the past three weeks, Carr has been a top-10 fantasy signal-caller with a 6-0 TD-to-INT ratio. For some reason, Carr has also played better on the road, throwing for 2-plus touchdowns in each of Oakland's four away contests. While the Raiders are home in Week 11, they have an intriguing matchup against a hapless Bengals' defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season. Carr is a strong QB2 who has a decent crack at top-12 numbers this week.
Kyle Allen (Carolina Panthers) - Last week aside, Atlanta's secondary has been awful against the pass, surrendering 19 TD tosses and only picking off a pair of passes all season. Before their surprising stand against a less-than-healthy Drew Brees, the Falcons' secondary had allowed 18 total QB touchdowns in their previous six games. While Allen has been more of a game manager, this is a vulnerable defense that will have trouble stopping Christian McCaffrey, D.J. Moore, and Curtis Samuel. 250 yards and a pair of scores seems perfectly reasonable for Allen, making him a solid streaming option for Aaron Rodgers or Russell Wilson owners.
Brian Hill (Atlanta Falcons) - Volume reigns supreme as an indicator of success and potential in fantasy football. With both Ito Smith and Devonta Freeman out, Hill should take close to a full allotment of snaps for the Falcons, who travel to Carolina to face a Panthers defense that has been gouged by the run. The Panthers have surrendered an NFL-worst 14 rushing touchdowns to running backs and another three scores through the air. Hill is a capable runner and solid receiver out of the backfield. He's a strong candidate to nab 20 total touches in a primo matchup. Hill offers top-15 overall value this week and is still widely available on the waiver wire.
Miles Sanders (Philadelphia Eagles) - Speaking of volume, Sanders should be set up for his biggest touch count of the season. Philadelphia is banged up, with Darren Sproles already ruled out and Jordan Howard (shoulder) looking highly unlikely to suit up. The Eagles' receiving corps is in even worse shape and will have a tough time against New England's elite secondary. This should free up Sanders to be featured early and often as both a runner and receiver. It's a less-than-desirable opponent, but Sanders looks like a good bet to touch the ball 15-plus times, putting him firmly in the RB2 discussion.
J.D. McKissic (Detroit Lions) - What were we saying about volume? McKissic isn't anything special as a runner-he's more suited for the old Theo Riddick role as a pass-catching weapon to scheme into mismatches against linebackers. However, McKissic logged a 70% snap rate last week and should be at or near that level again in Week 11. As an added bonus, the Lions host a Dallas defense that has allowed the tenth-most fantasy points to the position, including 61 receptions and 479 yards through the air to running backs. McKissic is a solid RB3/FLEX option in PPR formats.
Marquise Brown (Baltimore Ravens) - Hollywood has been hobbled for a while but looked healthy enough last week in 19 snaps to be put back into fantasy lineups. Brown is Baltimore's No. 1 receiver, which is something that the Texans have had an immense problem with all season. Houston fares much better against the run, but loading up to do so will allow Lamar Jackson to take play-action shots downfield, which is the perfect formula for a big game out of Brown. A solid weekly WR3, Brown has top-10 upside in a game that is shaping up to be a potential back-and-forth shootout.
John Brown (Buffalo Bills) - John Brown has been one of the most consistent receivers in the game, catching 4-plus balls and topping 50-plus receiving yards in each of Buffalo's nine contests. This week, Brown and company have one of the best matchups of the entire Week 11 slate against a Miami defense that has allowed nine touchdowns so far to opposing No. 1 receivers, including one to Brown himself back in Week 7. In that game, Brown reeled in 5-of-6 targets for 83 yards and that score, and that seems like a reasonable expectation for the rematch. Brown is an excellent WR2 in Week 11, with 20-plus fantasy point upside.
Auden Tate (Cincinnati Bengals) - A.J Green (ankle) won't return and Alex Erickson (back) is also banged up, which means the Bengals will be down to Tate and Tyler Boyd as the only healthy wideouts in a tasty matchup versus an Oakland secondary that has ceded the seventh-most fantasy points to wide receivers so far in 2019. Tate has played over 90% of the Bengals' snaps in each of the past six games and averaged over eight targets per game. 72% of Tate's snaps have come from the perimeter, which puts him in a favorable coverage spot this week against Trayvon Mullen and Daryl Worley. There's a solid chance that Tate approaches double-digit targets in this matchup, giving him solid WR3/4 value.
Jared Cook (New Orleans Saints) - Cook was one of the few bright spots for the Saints last week, nabbing six of 10 targets for 74 yards. Those were season-best totals for the free-agent acquisition who now gets another phenomenal matchup on the road against a moribund Tampa stop unit which has allowed the second-most fantasy points to tight ends. If Drew Brees is again unable to challenge defenders downfield, Cook could easily rack up another 8-10 looks in this tilt and be a potential mismatch in the red-zone.
Ross Dwelley (San Francisco 49ers) - Only the Cardinals have allowed more fantasy points to tight ends than the Buccaneers, but it's actually a huge gap. In fact, the Cardinals have allowed 68 receptions, 857 receiving yards, and a whopping 10 touchdowns to tight ends so far in 2019, including Geroge Kittle's 6/79/1 showing just two weeks ago. With Kittle hobbled by knee and ankle injuries, Dwelley should fill in and looks like a strong candidate to post top-10 fantasy numbers in Week 11. Last week, he logged a 91% snap rate and earned seven targets against Seattle. Playing a similar snap share versus a historically-bad stop unit should make Dwelley a solid streamer that can be started right off the waiver wire.
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Jody is a member of both the Pro Football Writer's of America (PFWA) and Fantasy Sports Writer's Association (FSWA) and has been covering the NFL and fantasy football for over a decade. Jody won FantasyPro's Most Accurate Expert contest and also garnered the FSTA's accuracy award in 2012. A Houston native, Jody has covered the Texans locally since 2016 for both digital and radio audiences. Past writing stops include CBS Sportsline, Gridiron Experts, Pro Football Focus, Fanball, FantasyPro's. Jody is also a frequent guest on SiriusXM and Houston radio and his work regularly appears in print on newsstands each summer.