This article will discuss 10 players and the advanced metrics tied to them that you should know about as we approach the Week 3 slate of NFL action. The advanced metrics that FantasyData provides our subscribers are not the end all be all. They are very useful at helping you better understand matchups and make the best possible lineup decision.
Last week’s article gave hints to James Robinson’s potential, Jonathan Taylor Opportunity share, and more.
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Josh Allen Number of Deep Ball Pass Attempts and Completion Percentage
Allen has averaged 37 fantasy points per game this season. His 10 deep ball pass attempts are tied for the fourth-most among quarterbacks. This advanced metric tracks attempts that travel 20 or more yards in the air. Allen’s completion percentage is currently at 70% on such attempts. He currently has the fifth-most pass attempts (81) among quarterbacks. Were you aware that Allen has an overall completion percentage of 70%? He will be tested against the Rams defense in Week 3. The top quarterback scorers against the Rams over their last five games have averaged 17.6 fantasy points per game against them. Allen has a good chance to exceed those averages and can still be viewed as a QB1.
Russell Wilson’s Protection Rate and Pressured Completion Rate
The Seahawks have finally taken the restraints off of Wilson and the results have been glorious. He’s averaged 35.6 fantasy points per game so far in 2020. The Seahawks rank 29th with a Protection Rate of 75 percent. Wilson currently ranks second among quarterbacks with a pressured completion percentage of 81%. He has a very favorable matchup in Week 3 against the Cowboys defense. Dallas has allowed an average of 20 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks over its last five.
CeeDee Lamb’s True Catch Rate
Lamb has thrived in the Cowboys’ heavy use of 11 personnel. He’s played 82 percent of Dallas’ offensive snaps and his 15 targets are the second-most on the team. Lamb has a true catch rate of 91.7 percent. This advanced metric divides total receptions by total catchable targets. Lamb is a WR3 with significant upside against a Seahawks’ defense that has allowed 45.4 PPR fantasy points per game to wide receivers over its last five regular-season games.
Diontae Johnson’s Snap Percentage
Johnson has played 83 percent of the Steelers’ offensive snaps and leads the team with 23 targets. He has two drops entering Week 3 and a true catch rate of 82.4 percent. Johnson has averaged 2.07 yards per pass route which is impressive considering his target volume so far this season. Johnson has a great matchup against the Texans secondary in Week 3. Houston’s defense has allowed an average of 19 PPR fantasy points per game to top wide receiver scorers over its last five regular-season games.
Julian Edelman’s Yards Per Pass Route
Stefon Diggs is the Air Yards Leader
Diggs is thriving in Buffalo with Allen as the team’s new No. 1 receiver. He has accumulated 22 targets, 16 receptions, and 239 receiving yards through two games. Diggs also ranks sixth among wide receivers with double-digit targets in yards per pass route.
Mo Alie-Cox’s Yards Per Pass Route
Alie-Cox caught five of six targets for 111 yards in the Colts win over the Vikings last week. He leads all tight ends with 3.85 yards per pass route. Alie-Cox has a great matchup in Week 3 against the Jets defense who was torched by Jordan Reed last week. The veteran tight end finished with 24 PPR fantasy points against them in Week 2.
Kareem Hunt’s Juke Rate
Hunt has averaged 15.5 opportunities and 18 PPR fantasy points per game this season. His contract extension from the Browns suggests Hunt will continue to be heavily involved in the team’s backfield. Hunt leads all running backs who have seen significant touches in Juke Rate (58.6%). This metric isolates a running back’s on-field elusiveness and tackle-breaking power by dividing the total number of evaded tackles by the total number of touches. Hunt also has two runs of 15 or more yards this season. He has an excellent matchup against Washington in Week 3. The Football team’s defense has allowed an average of 21 opportunities, 145 total yards, and 25 PPR fantasy points to top running back scorers over its last five regular-season games.
Derrick Henry’s Opportunity Share
Henry leads all running backs with an opportunity share of 91 percent. He’s only averaged a disappointing 12.2 PPR fantasy points per game this season, but more productive games are ahead. Henry is an intriguing buy-low candidate. He’s faced a light defensive front on 53.6 of his rushing attempts so far this season. Henry and the Titans face a Vikings defense that has allowed 19.4 PPR fantasy points per game to top running back scorers over its last five regular-season games.
Devin Singletary’s Rushing Attempts Against Light Defensive Fronts
Singletary has faced a light defensive front on 89.5 percent of his rushing attempts this season. He’s also averaged a solid 1.73 yards created per attempt. Singletary is in line to see a high number of opportunities against the Rams in Week 3 with Zack Moss being ruled out due to injury. Los Angeles’ defense has allowed the 10th most rushing yards per game.
Conclusion
FantasyData has a wealth of statistical information available to you at your fingertips. Do you ever wonder how to weave all of the information together in order to make informed decisions for your fantasy football team? That’s the purpose behind the Advanced Metrics series that I’m writing this season. One way to approach any decision in fantasy football is to analyze two things. The first one revolves around the narrative. What are NFL Insiders, beat writers, and coaches saying. The second one revolves around the statistics, metrics, and other data. Take a moment to think of a piano. You can play music with one hand, but once you use both hands the music is even better. You should have the same mindset when it comes to managing your fantasy football team. If you have additional questions you can also refer to my fantasy football rankings or better yet reach out to me on Twitter for an immediate response (@EricNMoody). Thanks for reading and please sign up for FantasyData Premium.
