Fantasy Football Sleepers: Week 11
Fantasy Football Sleepers: Week 11
We've begun to see role players take on bigger usage in recent weeks across the NFL. Whether due to injuries, scheme, or underperforming starters, fantasy football has evolved each week this season, as ancillary personnel have earned more meaningful touches. Defining "sleepers" in fantasy football can encompass a variety of factors, but the primary thread linking all sleeper prospects in fantasy football in 2023 is their public perception. Most fantasy managers in leagues aren't comfortable inserting players who have yet to produce a strong outing into lineups but taking calculated risks on players with potential upside, even without showing it in their production, is the best way to define fantasy football sleepers.
Week 11 sends Atlanta, Indianapolis, New England, and New Orleans into their Bye Week, so fantasy managers will once again have to make tough start/sit decisions to maximize points in lineups. We're being treated to some fantastic prime-time matchups this week, starting with Cincinnati visiting the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday Night Football for a huge AFC North contest with massive implications for the rest of the AFC playoff picture. Josh Dobbs and the red-hot Minnesota Vikings will hit the road for a tough matchup against a much-improved Denver defense on Sunday Night Football, while we're treated to a Super Bowl rematch when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night Football.
In between these prime-time bangers are the Sunday afternoon games, which have a lot of value to exploit from a fantasy football sleeper context. Whether it's the Kyler Murray-led Cardinals facing rookie MVP candidate C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans, the rejuvenated Las Vegas Raiders visiting the Miami Dolphins, or Green Bay hosting the Chargers, Week 11 gives us some intriguing matchups to target in fantasy football. NFL fantasy analyst Matt MacKay gives us his latest analysis of several players who are fantasy football sleepers. In this article, half-PPR scoring is used to assess each sleeper prospect to determine whether their Week 11 matchup is worth pursuing. Enjoy insight into each player's upcoming schedule and their rest of season trajectory, as fantasy football begins to heat up down the final stretch of the regular season.
Devin Singletary (RB - Texans)
Following a career game against Cincinnati, Devin Singletary lands a top-three fantasy running back matchup at home against Arizona in Week 11. Singletary handled 30 carries and turned this golden usage into 150 rushing yards and a touchdown while catching one of two targets for an additional 11 receiving yards. Houston's pass-centric offense can work in Singletary's favor, as the focus on Stroud and the rest of the wide-receiving corps will set up some good iso, draw, and counter carries for the Texans' RB1. Dameon Pierce still isn't cleared to return from injury, plus he's been ineffective, while Singletary finally popped for a 22.6-point outing in a tough Week 10 matchup. Singletary's elite usage as a ball carrier in an increasingly potent Houston offense, combined with a top-three matchup against Arizona's porous run defense, makes him a high-end RB2 to plug into Week 11 lineups.
Zach Charbonnet (RB - Seahawks)
Seattle's offensive identity remains run-centric, which means rookie Zach Charbonnet should continue increasing his workload behind RB1 Kenneth Walker. While Charbonnet is not earning enough touches to be a high-ceiling prospect, he did earn a season-high five targets during the Seahawks' 29-26 win over Washington in Week 10. Six carries for 44 yards isn't shabby either, but Charbonnet's usage as a pass-catcher out of the backfield is an encouraging development. Now, Seattle travels to SoFi Stadium to avenge their Week 1 loss to the Rams. While the Rams are a bottom-ten fantasy running back matchup this season, they've been susceptible to big-chunk plays. Charbonnet is an RB3 but his trajectory is trending up, so desperate fantasy managers can pivot to the rookie running back if necessary.
Noah Brown (WR - Texans)
Hardly anyone expected multiple Houston skilled players to become relevant in fantasy football but C.J. Stroud's ability to elevate the personnel around him is undoubtedly paying off for players like Noah Brown. A seventh-round draft pick in 2017 by Dallas, Brown has revived his career with the Texans in 2023. He's dealing with a knee injury and is currently questionable, but assuming he suits up against Arizona on Sunday, he profiles as a mid-range WR2 with WR1 upside. Brown has delivered 20-plus fantasy points in back-to-back weeks, including a tough matchup against Cincinnati, recording at least six receptions and 153 receiving yards during his two-game hot streak. Arizona is ranked 16th against fantasy wide receivers, which is good enough to continue riding Brown's current usage until further notice. He's all but guaranteed to deliver WR2 numbers as his baseline against the Cardinals in Week 11.
Romeo Doubs (WR - Packers)
Rostering wideouts who catch passes from Jordan Love is tough, but at least Green Bay isn't afraid to let their QB1 rip deep targets downfield to his wide receiving corps. Romeo Doubs has quietly been improving his production, averaging 9.6 fantasy points per game this season, while scoring a touchdown in three of his past four games. Doubs' targets aren't elite, earning five or fewer targets in three of his past four games, but his efficiency is what keeps him in fringe WR2 territory. The Chargers' pass defense is a top-five fantasy matchup for wideouts, so Doubs profiles as a high-end WR3 with WR2 upside in Week 11.
Tyler Conklin (TE - Jets)
Zach Wilson's presence under center is paying huge dividends for Tyler Conklin, who has earned 13 targets across the past two games. Conklin has caught all 13 targets, logging at least 66 receiving yards during this two-game stretch against the Chargers and Raiders. Now, he gets a tougher bottom-12 matchup against the Bills, who held him to one reception for two yards in Week 1. However, this is a much different Buffalo defense due to injuries, plus Wilson's established a strong rapport with Conklin as his preferred second pass-catching option. Conklin hasn't scored a touchdown yet but he's recorded at least 8.5 fantasy points in three of his past five games, so at a volatile tight end position, he's a capable performer on the road in a divisional matchup in Week 11.
Russell Wilson (QB - Broncos)
Despite throwing under 200 yards in five consecutive games, Russell Wilson is QB17, averaging 17 fantasy points per game. How? He's been throwing touchdowns galore. Wilson has thrown at least one touchdown in every game this season, including five against the Chiefs and Bills in his last two starts. Factor in his increased rushing usage, handling eight to nine carries for 30 rushing yards during each of his past two performances, and it's easy to see how his fantasy production remains in mid-range QB2 territory. In fact, it could be a fringe QB1 average if not for modest numbers against the Chiefs and Packers in Week 6 and 7. Wilson's playing well within Sean Payton's scheme and hosts Minnesota on Sunday night, which is a defense that's improved but still surrendering big plays to opposing passing attacks. The Vikings are 17th for fantasy quarterback matchups, so while it's not a top-ten matchup, Wilson's dual-threat ability and efficiency is worth plugging into lineups as a potential low-end QB1 performer in Week 11.
Matt is an avid writer and enjoys analyzing the game within the game that is fantasy sports. Music is another constant in his daily life. Matt loves spending time with his fiancé and three pets, which typically involves some type of outdoor exercise or adventure. He likes to read, listen to Podcasts, and is constantly motivated to create the most accurate and engaging content in the fantasy sports industry. Pat McAfee is a massive inspiration to Matt, along with his parents and friends. He is guilty of ordering the same menu item at restaurants.